Significance of overall concurrent chemoradiotherapy duration on survival outcomes of stage IIIB/C non-small-cell lung carcinoma patients: analysis of 956 patients

Abstract

Background: to investigate the detrimental effects of prolonged overall radiotherapy duration (ORTD) on survival outcomes of stage IIIB/C NSCLC patients treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (C-CRT) Methods: the study cohort consisted of 956 patients who underwent C-CRT for stage IIIB/C NSCLC. Primary endpoint was the association between the ORTD and overall survival (OS) with locoregional progression-free survival (LRPFS) and PFS comprising the secondary endpoints. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was utilized for accessibility of the cut-off that interacts with survival outcomes. Multivariate Cox model was utilized to identify the independent associates of survival outcomes. Results: the ROC curve analysis exhibited significance at 49 days of ORTD cut-off that dichotomized patients into ORTD<50 versus ORTD50 days groups for OS [area under the curve (AUC): 82.8%; sensitivity: 81.1%; specificity: 74.8%], LRPFS (AUC: 91.9%; sensitivity: 90.6%; specificity: 76.3%), and PFS (AUC: 76.1%; sensitivity: 72.4%; specificity: 68.2%), respectively. Accordingly, ORTD50 days group had significantly shorter median OS (P<0.001), LRPFS (P<0.001), and PFS (P<0.001); and 10-year actuarial locoregional control (P<0.001) and distant metastases-free (P<0.011) rates than the ORTD<50 days group. The ORTD retained its significant association with survival outcomes at multivariate analyses independent of the other favorable covariates (p<0.001, for OS, LRPFS, and PFS): Stage IIIB disease (versus IIIC), lymph node bulk <2 cm (versus 2 cm), and 2–3 chemotherapy cycles (versus 1). The higher sensitivity for LRPFS (90.6%) than PFS (72.4%) on ROC curve analysis suggested the prolonged ORTD-induced decrements in locoregional control rates as the major cause of the poor survival outcomes. Conclusions: longer ORTD beyond 50 days was associated with significantly poorer OS, LRPFS and PFS outcomes, where reduced locoregional control rates appeared to be the main causative.