Researcher: Ertan, Güneş
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Ertan, Güneş
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Publication Metadata only Mobilization networks and the outcomes of neighborhood protests in Ankara(Vehbi Koç Ankara Studies Research Center (VEKAM) / Vehbi Koç Ankara Araştırmaları Uygulama ve Araştırma Merkezi (VEKAM), 2019) Department of International Relations; Ertan, Güneş; Faculty Member; Department of International Relations; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; 219276This study aims to understand how the structure of mobilization networks relates to the outcomes of collective action by using 17 cases of neighborhood protests in Ankara between 2007-2011. Based on police records and on site interviews, the findings of the study suggest that successful outcomes depend on two mobilization structure related processes; the first one facilitates the efficient flow of information for coordination purposes, while the second increases the tendency of participants to use high-risk disruptive tactics due to the prevalence of strong ties amongst the protagonists. This paper also considers, to some extent, the antecedents of these structures, and shows that they originate from two sources that very much depend on each other: the spatial configuration of the neighborhood in question and pre-existing informal social ties. /Öz: Çalışma, 2007-2011 arası Ankara’nın çeşitli mahallelerinde gerçekleşen 17 eylemi inceleyerek mobilizasyon ağlarının yapısının yerel protesto olaylarının sonuçlarıyla nasıl ilişkili olduğunu anlamayı amaçlamaktadır. Araştırmanın verileri polis kayıtları ve saha görüşmelerinden oluşmaktadır. Sonuç olarak olumlu sonuç ile ilişkili iki ayrı mekanizma belirlenmiştir. Birinci mekanizma verimli bilgi akışını sağlayarak katılımcıların koordinasyonunu kolaylaştırır. İkincisi ise katılımcıların arasındaki güçlü bağlar nedeniyle riskli taktiklerin kullanılma eğilimini artırır. Mobilizasyon ağlarının öncülleri olarak mekansal yapılar ve enformel sosyal ağlar göze çarpmaktadır.Publication Metadata only Collective action, civil society, and public policy in Turkey(Routledge Journals, Taylor & Francis Ltd, 2020) Department of International Relations; Ertan, Güneş; Faculty Member; Department of International Relations; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; 219276Understanding policy change mechanisms has been a key question for scholars of public policy and collective action. However, policy scholarship mostly ignores civil society-based explanations of policy processes. In order to address this gap, this study combines the Advocacy Coalition Framework with networked collective action perspectives and analyzes a successful case of mobilization of women's rights organizations in Turkey to reverse a bill on child marriage. Study findings suggest that advocacy coalitions are not static entities. When different issues in a policy subsystem are invoked, the structure of inter-coalition networks can change substantially and these variations in inter-coalition interactions may have consequences for influencing policy change. Moreover, this paper argues that extensive street protests and online campaigns by civil society organizations have the capacity to boost the bargaining power of minority coalitions, especially in contexts that lack multiple formal venues for making policy claims.Publication Metadata only Policy analysis in civil society organisations(Policy Press, 2018) Department of International Relations; Ertan, Güneş; Faculty Member; Department of International Relations; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; 219276N/APublication Metadata only The dynamics of change following extreme events: transition, scale, and adaptation in systems under stress(Sage, 2020) Comfort, Louise K. K.; Haase, Thomas W.; Scheinert, Steve R.; Department of International Relations; Ertan, Güneş; Faculty Member; Department of International Relations; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; 219276Whether and how organizations adapt to risk in changing contexts is a perennial problem in public administration. We explore this problem in a comparative analysis of four hurricanes that struck the Gulf Coast in 2005 and 2008: Hurricanes Katrina and Gustav in Louisiana and Hurricanes Rita and Ike in Texas. We use a framework of complex adaptive systems to assess what changes facilitate this transition in disaster contexts and what conditions inhibit adaptation. Methods include content and network analysis, including the calculation of E/I index scores. Findings suggest that investment in information technology and training in Louisiana following a perceived poor response to Katrina in 2005 led to adaptive performance in Gustav in 2008 in Louisiana, whereas minimal change following a perceived credible response to Rita in 2005 led to slower adaptation in response to Ike in 2008 in Texas.Publication Metadata only Policy analysis in Turkey(Policy Press, 2018) Department of International Relations; Department of International Relations; Bakır, Caner; Ertan, Güneş; Faculty Member; Faculty Member; Department of International Relations; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; 108141; 219276This volume provides the first comprehensive overview of the state of policy analysis in Turkey for an international audience. Noting Turkey’s traditionally strong, highly centralised state, the book documents the evolution of policy analysis in the country, providing an in-depth review of the context, constraints, and dominant modes of policy analysis performed by both state and non-state actors. The book examines the role of committees, experts, international actors, bureaucrats as well as public opinion in shaping policy analysis in the country through their varying ideas, interests and resources. In doing so, it presents the complex decision-making mechanisms that vary significantly among policy-making actors and institutions, documenting the key, yet unexamined, aspects of policy analysis in Turkey. It will be a valuable resource for those studying policy analysis within Turkey and as a comparison with other volumes in the International Library of Policy Analysis Series.Publication Metadata only Civil society and disaster management: case of Marmara Earthquake(N/A, 2020) Department of International Relations; Ertan, Güneş; Faculty Member; Department of International Relations; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; 219276Despite the abundance of studies on performance of public organizations involved in the disaster management system of Turkey, there had been limited attention to the role of civil initiatives involved in disaster management. The disaster response operations in the aftermath of the Marmara earthquake showed that the interaction between public organizations and civil society organizations, and the coordination among the civil society organizations themselves have been very limited. After reviewing the literature on interorganizational response systems following the Marmara Earthquake, this study uses a novel data set to decipher the collective action problems of civil society organizations in Turkish disaster response system using network analysis. The study concludes with a set of policy recommendations to enhance coordination and cooperation among organizations involved in the governance of Turkish disaster management system. /Öz: Türkiye'nin afet yönetim sistemine dahil olan kamu kuruluşlarının performansı konusunda çok sayıda akademik çalışma bulunmaktadır. Ancak afet yönetiminde yer alan sivil inisiyatiflerin rolüne sınırlı bir ilgi gösterilmiştir. Marmara depremi sonrasında gerçekleşen afet müdahale operasyonları, kamu kuruluşları ile sivil toplum kuruluşları arasındaki etkileşimin ve sivil toplum kuruluşları arasındaki koordinasyonun çok sınırlı olduğunu göstermiştir. Bu çalışma Marmara depreminden sonra gerçekleşen örgütler arası işbirliklerini inceleyen bir literatür taraması yaptıktan sonra yeni bir veri seti kullanarak Türkiye afet müdahale sistemindeki sivil toplum kuruluşlarının kolektif eylem sorunlarını ağ analizi kullanarak incelemektedir. Çalışma, Türk afet yönetişim sisteminde yer alan kuruluşlar arasındaki koordinasyonu ve işbirliğini geliştirmek için bir dizi politika önerisiyle sonuçlanmaktadır.Publication Metadata only Trust in political institutions in Turkey: cultural and institutional explanations and the “home team" effect(Hacettepe Üniversitesi, 2019) Department of International Relations; Department of International Relations; Department of International Relations; Ertan, Güneş; Aytaç, Selim Erdem; Çarkoğlu, Ali; Faculty Member; Faculty Member; Faculty Member; Department of International Relations; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; 219276; 224278; 125588Trust in political institutions can be seen as an indicator of the level of general satisfaction with the political system in democratic societies, and it is also one of the fundamental conditions for the legitimacy and well-functioning of the system. For this reason, understanding the level of trust in political institutions as well as its determinants is an important question facing social scientists. In this study, we examine the individual-level determinants of trust in parliament and government in Turkey. Our data is based on an original survey with 2.495 respondents fielded between August 29 and November 29, 2015 on a nationally representative sample from 68 provinces. Our findings indicate that there is a positive relationship between political trust and satisfaction of individuals with their lives in general, with their economic circumstances, their level of interpersonal trust, and perceptions of political efficacy. In addition, supporters of the ruling AK Party display higher trust in political institutions. On the other hand, those belonging to Kurdish and Alevi communities and those living in urban areas seem to have relatively lower levels of political trust. There is also a negative relationship between level of education level and political trust. Overall, both institutional and cultural approaches to political trust have explanatory power within the Turkish context. Moreover, in line with the “winning team” argument, supporters of the current government, who can be considered as the winners of democratic contention, display higher levels of trust towards political institutions. /Öz: Siyasi kurumlara güven, demokratik toplumlarda hem mevcut siyasal sisteme ilişkin genel tatmin düzeyinin bir göstergesi olarak görülebilir hem de sistemin meşruiyeti ve iyi işlemesi için temel koşullardan biridir. Bu nedenle, siyasi kurumlara güvenin düzeyini ve belirleyicilerini anlamak, sosyal bilimcilerin karşısına önemli bir soru olarak çıkmaktadır. Bu çalışmada, Türkiye’deki seçmen yaşındaki nüfusu temsil etme niteliğine sahip, 68 ilden 2.495 katılımcı ile 29 Ağustos ve 29 Kasım 2015 tarihleri arasında gerçekleştirilen özgün bir saha araştırmasının verileri kullanılarak parlamento ve hükümete güvenin bireysel düzeydeki belirleyicilerini incelemekteyiz. Bulgularımıza göre bireylerin genel olarak hayatlarından ve ekonomik durumlarından memnuniyetleri, kişilerarası güven düzeyleri, ve siyasal etkinlik algıları ile siyasal güven arasında olumlu bir ilişki bulunmaktadır. Ayrıca iktidardaki AK Parti’nin seçmenlerinin siyasal kurumlara olan güveni diğer vatandaşlara göre daha yüksektir. Buna karşın, Kürt ve Alevi vatandaşlar ile kentsel alanlarda yaşayanlar görece olarak daha düşük siyasal güven duygusuna sahip görünmektedir. Eğitim düzeyi ile siyasal güven arasında da negatif bir ilişki tespit edilmiştir. Özet olarak, Türkiye’de hem kurumsal hem de kültürel yaklaşımların siyasal güven düzeylerini açıklayabilir olduğunu görmekteyiz. Ayrıca literatürdeki ‘kazanan takım’ hipotezine uygun olarak demokratik mücadele içinde kazanan olarak tarif edilebilecek hükümet partisi taraftarlarının siyasi kurumlara güvenleri de yüksek seyretmektedir.Publication Metadata only Cognitive political networks: A structural approach to measure political polarization in multiparty systems(Elsevier, 2022) N/A; Department of International Relations; Department of International Relations; Department of International Relations; Ertan, Güneş; Çarkoğlu, Ali; Aytaç, Selim Erdem; Faculty Member; Faculty Member; Faculty Member; Department of International Relations; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; 219276; 125588; 224278While there is a well-established literature on measuring political polarization in two-party systems, relational approaches to polarization in multiparty systems are still very limited. In this paper we develop a network-based approach for measuring perceived party polarization in survey studies that is suitable for multiparty systems. Our approach is based on cognitive social structures design. We generate a cognitive political network for each respondent in a nationally representative survey in Turkey by asking respondents their perceived ties among all possible dyadic relations among major political parties. From these networks we calculate multiple whole network measures that may be reasonable proxies for perceived party polarization. We compare our approach with the Left-Right political ideology distance scale commonly used in survey studies. Our analyses show that the association between our measure and the Left-Right ideological distance is limited. The cognitive political network approach may be a flexible and a direct alternative for measuring political phenomena in survey studies such as perceived party polarization in multiparty contexts.Publication Metadata only Risk, profit, or safety: sociotechnical systems under stress(2016) Erkan, Burçak; Yea, Jungwon; Comfort, Louise K.; Department of International Relations; Ertan, Güneş; Faculty Member; Department of International Relations; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; 219276Sociotechnical systems are designed to perform technical functions under organizational management for the benefit of society, but face major challenges in high risk operations such as mining. The mining industry in Turkey confronts a set of conflicting goals. Underground mining is a dangerous operation that creates continuing exposure to risk for miners who extract the coal. Yet, coal is an essential commodity for the growing Turkish economy, with mining operations now largely conducted by private companies seeking to maximize profit. Known strategies for managing mining operations to increase workers' safety exist and have been legally adopted in law and policy in Turkey, but require substantial investment of resources and time to put into practice. These same requirements in practice reduce profit to mining companies and slow production. The challenge is to balance these conflicting pressures in the mining industry to achieve low-cost energy for society, maintain safety for the miners, and ensure reasonable return on investment for mining companies. Achieving this balance in practice represents a classic collective action problem in which maximum benefit to the whole society can only be achieved by reasoned, informed action taken by multiple actors adapting to changing conditions under constraints of limited time and resources. These conflicting demands require a continual process of monitoring uncertain conditions, calibrating investment in safety in relation to cost of failure, and adapting to changing operating conditions in near-real time. We explore this set of conflicting pressures as a policy issue that confronts the mining industry globally, but inquire specifically into conditions that led to the deadly mine fire in Soma, Manisa, Turkey on May 13, 2014 as a study of a sociotechnical system under stress. (C) 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.Publication Metadata only Omission and commission errors in network cognition and network estimation using roc curve(Elsevier Science Bv, 2017) Yenigun, Deniz; Siciliano, Michael; Department of International Relations; Ertan, Güneş; Faculty Member; Department of International Relations; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; 219276Network studies on cognitive social structures collect relational data on respondents' direct ties and their perception of ties among all other individuals in the network. When reporting their perception networks, respondents commit two types of errors, namely, omission (false negatives) and commission (false positives) errors. We first assess the relationship between these two error types, and their contributions on overall respondent accuracy. Next we propose a method for estimating networks based on perceptions of a random sample of respondents from a bounded social network, which utilizes the receiver operator characteristic curve for balancing the tradeoffs between omission and commission errors. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.