Publication:
National case fatality rates of the COVID-19 pandemic

dc.contributor.coauthorTiemeier, H. W.
dc.contributor.coauthorPetersen, Eskild
dc.contributor.coauthorPetrosillo, Nicola
dc.contributor.departmentDepartment of Industrial Engineering
dc.contributor.departmentSchool of Medicine
dc.contributor.kuauthorAkyol, Merve
dc.contributor.kuauthorGönen, Mehmet
dc.contributor.kuauthorTanrıöver, Cem
dc.contributor.kuauthorErgönül, Önder
dc.contributor.schoolcollegeinstituteCollege of Engineering
dc.contributor.schoolcollegeinstituteSCHOOL OF MEDICINE
dc.date.accessioned2024-11-09T12:33:25Z
dc.date.issued2020
dc.description.abstractObjectives: the case fatality rate (CFR) of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) varies significantly between countries. We aimed to describe the associations between health indicators and the national CFRs of COVID-19. Methods: we identified for each country health indicators potentially associated with the national CFRs of COVID-19. We extracted data for 18 variables from international administrative data sources for 34 member countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). We excluded the collinear variables and examined the 16 variables in multivariable analysis. A dynamic web-based model was developed to analyse and display the associations for the CFRs of COVID-19. We followed the Guideline for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting (GATHER). Results: in multivariable analysis, the variables significantly associated with the increased CFRs were percentage of obesity in ages >18 years (β = 3.26; 95%CI = 1.20, 5.33; p 0.003), tuberculosis incidence (β = 3.15; 95%CI = 1.09, 5.22; p 0.004), duration (days) since first death due to COVID-19 (β = 2.89; 95%CI = 0.83, 4.96; p 0.008), and median age (β = 2.83; 95%CI = 0.76, 4.89; p 0.009). The COVID-19 test rate (β = –3.54; 95%CI = –5.60, –1.47; p 0.002), hospital bed density (β = –2.47; 95%CI = –4.54, –0.41; p 0.021), and rural population ratio (β = –2.19; 95%CI = –4.25, –0.13; p 0.039) decreased the CFR. Conclusions: the pandemic hits population-dense cities. Available hospital beds should be increased. Test capacity should be increased to enable more effective diagnostic tests. Older patients and patients with obesity and their caregivers should be warned about a potentially increased risk.
dc.description.fulltextYES
dc.description.indexedbyScopus
dc.description.indexedbyPubMed
dc.description.issue1
dc.description.openaccessYES
dc.description.publisherscopeInternational
dc.description.sponsoredbyTubitakEuN/A
dc.description.sponsorshipN/A
dc.description.versionPublisher version
dc.description.volume27
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.cmi.2020.09.024
dc.identifier.embargoNO
dc.identifier.filenameinventorynoIR02408
dc.identifier.issn1198-743X
dc.identifier.quartileQ1
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85092526225
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14288/2009
dc.keywordsCase fatality rate
dc.keywordsCOVID-19
dc.keywordsEpidemiologic
dc.keywordsHealth indicators
dc.keywordsSARS-CoV-2
dc.language.isoeng
dc.publisherElsevier
dc.relation.grantnoNA
dc.relation.ispartofClinical Microbiology and Infection
dc.relation.urihttp://cdm21054.contentdm.oclc.org/cdm/ref/collection/IR/id/9044
dc.subjectMedicine
dc.subjectInfectious Diseases
dc.titleNational case fatality rates of the COVID-19 pandemic
dc.typeJournal Article
dspace.entity.typePublication
local.contributor.kuauthorErgönül, Mehmet Önder
local.contributor.kuauthorAkyol, Merve
local.contributor.kuauthorTanrıöver, Cem
local.contributor.kuauthorGönen, Mehmet
local.publication.orgunit1SCHOOL OF MEDICINE
local.publication.orgunit1College of Engineering
local.publication.orgunit2Department of Industrial Engineering
local.publication.orgunit2School of Medicine
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