Publications with Fulltext

Permanent URI for this collectionhttps://hdl.handle.net/20.500.14288/6

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    PublicationOpen Access
    Production control of a pull system with production and demand uncertainty
    (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2002) Department of Business Administration; Tan, Barış; Faculty Member; Department of Business Administration; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; 28600
    We consider a continuous material-flow manufacturing system with an unreliable production system and a variable demand source which switches randomly between zero and a maximum level. The failure and repair times of the production system and the switching times of the demand source are assumed to be exponentially distributed random variables. The optimal production flow control policy that minimizes the expected average inventory carrying and backlog costs is characterized as a double-hedging policy. The optimal hedging levels are determined analytically by minimizing the closed-form expression of the cost function. We investigate two approximate single hedging policies. It is empirically shown that an approximate policy that uses a single hedging level which is the sum of a production uncertainty term and a demand uncertainty term gives accurate results for the expected average cost.
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Capacity planning for effective cohorting of hemodialysis patients during the coronavirus pandemic: a case study
    (Elsevier, 2023) Bozkır, C.D.C.; Özmemiş, C.; Kurbanzade, A.K.; Balçık, B.; Tuğlular, S.; Department of Business Administration; Güneş, Evrim Didem; Faculty Member; Department of Business Administration; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; 51391
    Planning treatments of different types of patients have become challenging in hemodialysis clinics during the COVID-19 pandemic due to increased demands and uncertainties. In this study, we address capacity planning decisions of a hemodialysis clinic, located within a major public hospital in Istanbul, which serves both infected and uninfected patients during the COVID-19 pandemic with limited resources (i.e., dialysis machines). The clinic currently applies a 3-unit cohorting strategy to treat different types of patients (i.e., uninfected, infected, suspected) in separate units and at different times to mitigate the risk of infection spread risk. Accordingly, at the beginning of each week, the clinic needs to allocate the available dialysis machines to each unit that serves different patient cohorts. However, given the uncertainties in the number of different types of patients that will need dialysis each day, it is a challenge to determine which capacity configuration would minimize the overlapping treatment sessions of different cohorts over a week. We represent the uncertainties in the number of patients by a set of scenarios and present a stochastic programming approach to support capacity allocation decisions of the clinic. We present a case study based on the real-world patient data obtained from the hemodialysis clinic to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed model. We also compare the performance of different cohorting strategies with three and two patient cohorts.
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Modeling and analysis of an auction-based logistics market
    (Elsevier, 2008) Ağralı, Semra; Department of Business Administration; Department of Industrial Engineering; Tan, Barış; Karaesmen, Fikri; Faculty Member; Faculty Member; Department of Business Administration; Department of Industrial Engineering; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; College of Engineering; 28600; 3579
    We consider a logistics spot market where the transportation orders from a number of firms are matched with two types of carriers through a reverse auction. In the spot market, local carriers compete with in-transit carriers that have lower costs. In order to analyze the effects of implementing a logistics spot market on these three parties: firms, local carriers, and in-transit carriers and also the effects of various system parameters, we develop a two-stage stochastic model. We first model the auction in a static setting and determine the expected auction price based on the number of carriers engaging in the auction and their cost distributions. We then develop a continuous-time Markov chain model to evaluate the performance of the system in a dynamic setting with random arrivals and possible abandonment of orders and carriers. By combining these two models, we evaluate the performance measures such as the expected auction price, price paid to the carriers, distribution of orders between local and in-transit carriers, and expected number of carriers and orders waiting at the logistics center in the long run. We present analytical and computational results related to the performance of the system and discuss operation of such a logistics spot market in Turkey.
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Positioning multicountry brands: the impact of variation in cultural values and competitive set
    (American Marketing Association (AMA), 2017) Batra, Rajeev; Zhang, Y. Charles; Feinberg, Fred M.; Department of Business Administration; Aydınoğlu, Nilüfer Zümrüt; Faculty Member; Department of Business Administration; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; 114037
    Building on cultural values research, the authors identify specific image attributes on which multicountry brands should position themselves consistently across markets. Leveraging prior research, they identify three life values that are most equal (benevolence, universalism, and self-direction) and two that are least equal (power and hedonism) in cross-national importance. The authors link specific brand image attributes (e.g., friendly, social, elite style, arrogant) to these life values through empirical data and semantic analysis. Using an extensive field data set on consumer perceptions and preferences from 22 countries regarding more than 1,700 brands, the authors then show that greater global consistency of a brand's image decreases overall brand attitudes if the specific image attribute is one that is not equally desired worldwide. They also find that the attitudinal impact of a multicountry brand's positioning consistency on commonly valued image attributes is greater when the set of competitors the brand faces across its markets is more homogeneous. The authors discuss implications for global brand management theory and practice.
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Front-office multitasking between service encounters and back-office tasks
    (Elsevier, 2020) Legros, Benjamin; Jouini, Oualid; Koole, Ger; Department of Business Administration; Karaesmen, Zeynep Akşin; Faculty Member; Department of Business Administration; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; 4534
    We model the work of a front-line service worker as a queueing system. The server interacts with customers in a multi-stage process with random durations. Some stages require an interaction between server and customer, while other stages are performed by the customer as a self-service task or with the help of another resource. Random arrivals by customers at the beginning and during an encounter create random lengths of idle time in the work of the server (breaks and interludes respectively). The server considers treatment of an infinite amount of back-office tasks, or tasks that do not require interaction with the customer, during these idle times. We consider an optimal control problem for the server's work. The main question we explore is whether to use the interludes in service encounters for treating back-office, when the latter incur switching times. Under certain operating environments, working on back-office during interludes is shown to be valuable. Switching times play a critical role in the optimal control of the server's work, at times leading the server to prefer remaining idle during breaks and interludes, instead of working on back-office, and at others to continue back-office in the presence of waiting customers. The optimal policy for use of the interludes is one with multiple thresholds depending on both the customers queueing for service, and the ones who are in-service. We illustrate that in settings with multiple interludes in an encounter, if at all, the back-office work should be concentrated on fewer, longer and later interludes.
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Subcontracting with availability guarantees: production control and capacity decisions
    (Taylor _ Francis, 2004) Department of Economics; Department of Business Administration; Tan, Barış; Faculty Member; Department of Economics; Department of Business Administration; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; 28600
    We present a simplified model of a system with a producer, a subcontractor and a random demand. The demand level alternates between a high level and a low level with exponential switching times. The producer does not have enough capacity to meet the high demand. Therefore, it either produces to stock in advance or uses a subcontractor to receive additional capacity when it needs. The subcontractor serves a number of manufacturers and guarantees a long-term availability that is defined as the long-term probability that the subcontractor will be available when it is requested, to each manufacturer. Therefore, a manufacturer may not receive the requested capacity from the subcontractor immediately and waits until the subcontractor becomes available. The times that the subcontractor is available and not available are also exponential random variables. The producer uses a threshold-type policy that depends on the state of the inventory/backlogto decide how much to produce and how much to request from the subcontractor. This system is modeled analytically based on a stochastic flow rate control problem with continuous flow and discrete states in a Markovian setting. A numerical analysis of the model is used to analyze the effects of guaranteed availability on the manufacturer’s and subcontractor’s performances. Extensions to the producer’s and subcontractor’s capacity decisions and the subcontractor’s pricing decisions are also discussed.
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    PublicationOpen Access
    State foreclosure laws and the incidence of mortgage default
    (University of Chicago Press, 2014) Dudley, Evan; James, Christopher M.; Department of Business Administration; Demiroğlu, Cem; Faculty Member; Department of Business Administration; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; 18073
    This study presents a numerical and an experimental study on an active vibration control system. The system includes a fully-clamped plate and two surface bonded piezoelectric actuators and a collocated velocity sensor at one of the actuator locations. One of the piezoelectric actuators is used for disturbance actuation and the other one is used for control actuation. A model based optimal velocity feedback controller is used as control algorithm. The disturbance and actuator models are obtained through experimental characterization of the plate under the effect of the disturbance source. A representative SIMULINK model is built in parallel to the development of the experimental setup in order to investigate performance of the controller for various control parameters. After the model based optimal controller is designed, performance of the optimal velocity feedback controller is validated with the experimental study by comparing the vibration suppression values at multiple modes of the structure. Results show that the developed control methodology effectively suppresses the vibration amplitudes at multiple modes of the structure and also vibration attenuation levels can be predicted accurately with the simulations for various controller design parameters. It is also demonstrated that using an optimal controller enhances the performance of the system as opposed to just using velocity feedback algorithm for the active vibration control of the smart plate.
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Impact of delay announcements in call centers: an empirical approach
    (Informs, 2017) Ata, B.; Emadi, Sm.; Su, Cl.; Department of Business Administration; Karaesmen, Zeynep Akşin; Faculty Member; Department of Business Administration; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; 4534
    We undertake an empirical study of the impact of delay announcements on callers' abandonment behavior and the performance of a call center with two priority classes. A Cox regression analysis reveals that in this call center, callers' abandonment behavior is affected by the announcement messages heard. To account for this, we formulate a structural estimation model of callers' (endogenous) abandonment decisions. In this model, callers are forward-looking utility maximizers and make their abandonment decisions by solving an optimal stopping problem. Each caller receives a reward from service and incurs a linear cost of waiting. The reward and per-period waiting cost constitute the structural parameters that we estimate from the data of callers' abandonment decisions as well as the announcement messages heard. The call center performance is modeled by a Markovian approximation. The main methodological contribution is the definition of an equilibrium in steady state as one where callers' expectation of their waiting time, which affects their (rational) abandonment behavior, matches their actual waiting time in the call center, as well as the characterization of such an equilibrium as the solution of a set of nonlinear equations. A counterfactual analysis shows that callers react to longer delay announcements by abandoning earlier, that less patient callers as characterized by their reward and cost parameters react more to delay announcements, and that congestion in the call center at the time of the call affects caller reactions to delay announcements.
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Can the desired service level be achieved when the demand and lost sales are unobserved?
    (Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers (IEEE), 2002) Department of Business Administration; Tan, Barış; Karabatı, Selçuk; Faculty Member; Faculty Member; Department of Business Administration; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; 28600; 38819
    In this paper we consider an inventory management problem in the retail industry with unobserved lost sales. The retailer does not know the demand for a particular product but she has access to Point-Of-Sale (POS) data. The retailer uses a fixed review period, order-up-to level system to control the inventory. The objective of the retailer is to achieve a pre-specified service level. We define the service level as the fraction of demand satisfied from inventory. However, due to the unobserved lost sales nature of the problem, the retailer cannot exactly measure the current service level. We propose a POS data-based mechanism for periodic updating of the order-up-to level. We show that the periodic updating approach yields the desired service level without using any inventory information. Once the periodic updating scheme converges, it also gives the actual demand distribution.
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    PublicationOpen Access
    Markov chain test for time dependence and homogeneity: an analytical and empirical evaluation
    (Elsevier, 2002) Department of Business Administration; Department of Economics; Tan, Barış; Yılmaz, Kamil; Faculty Member; Faculty Member; Department of Business Administration; Department of Economics; College of Administrative Sciences and Economics; 28600; 6111
    This paper evaluates the small and large sample properties of Markov chain time-dependence and time-homogeneity tests. First, we present the Markov chain methodology to investigate various statistical properties of time series. Considering an auto-regressive time series and its associated Markov chain representation, we derive analytical measures of the statistical power of the Markov chain time-dependence and time-homogeneity tests. We later use Monte Carlo simulations to examine the small-sample properties of these tests. It is found that although Markov chain time-dependence test has desirable size and power properties, time-homogeneity test does not perform well in statistical size and power calculations.